Ninfinity

Status

Streaming

Markets

Venues

05 / 05

Latency

2.1s

The macro signal,
extracted from belief.

Q: What is a belief shock?

A belief shock is a statistically significant probability move on a prediction market. Ninfinity's filter surfaces only the top 0.3% of cross-venue moves that break through structural thresholds, weighted by liquidity, velocity, and cross-platform agreement.

Ninfinity reads conviction across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and two more venues — surfacing the shocks, divergences and structural shifts that move global markets, before consensus does.

Read the methodology

$0M

Liquidity tracked

Hit rate · 12mo

Median shock latency

Macro State · Live

14:23:07 GMT

Elevated

Geopolitical pressure rising · 3 high-conviction signals in last 4h

Conviction

+6 · 24h

Velocity

2.4σ

+0.8 · 24h

Liquidity

$2.4M

−12% · 24h

Conviction Pulse · 24h ● Live

Coverage across ——

Polymarket

Kalshi

Manifold

Metaculus

PredictIt

Blockcircle

Altcoin Market Scorecard (AMS)

Global Liquidity Scorecard (GLS)

Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard (MRS)

The instrument

Five primitives. One coherent read on the world.

Each surface is one durable measurement, refreshed every 4 seconds. No charts you have to interpret. No vibes.

01 / Conviction

Belief Shock Detection

A statistically tuned filter on cross-venue probability moves. We surface only the 0.3% that break through structural thresholds.

02 / Agreement

Cross-Platform Glyph

Five venues, five dots. Filled if the platform agrees with the signal direction, hollow if not. An entire market state in five characters.

              Russia ceasefire Q3
              ● ● ● ● ○ ●
            
              Fed cuts before July
              ● ● ○ ○ ● ●
            
              Recession in 2026
              ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ○

03 / Topology

Conviction Constellation

Every active market plotted on a velocity × liquidity field. Pan, zoom, scrub. The map of the prediction-market universe in one canvas.

04 / Memory

Outcomes Ledger

Every signal we've issued, with its resolution. Public-facing accountability. The page that proves the product to skeptical institutional clients.

              Last 30 signalsHIT / MISS
            
              23 / 28 · 82% · 2 pending

05 / State

Macro State Pill

One of CALM · ELEVATED · DIVERGENT · FRAGILE · STRESSED. The mood of the world's belief, distilled into two words. Always visible, always honest.

CALM
12%
ELEVATED
38%
DIVERGENT
22%
FRAGILE
18%
STRESSED
10%

06 / Tape

Belief Tape

A vertical scrolling tape of every shock as it lands. New entries fade in at the top, old ones drift off the bottom. The only thing on the page that moves passively. A heartbeat.

              HIGH
              BoJ raises by July
              +11%
            

              MOD
              Brent above $95
              +4%
            

              WATCH
              Tariff exemption
              −2%
            

For whom

The desks accountable for being early.

Built for analysts and researchers inside wealth funds, asset managers, and institutional banks who are accountable for having better information than their peers. The ones running briefings, managing risk exposure, and making calls that get reviewed.

Frequently asked

What analysts actually ask, before signing on.

What is Ninfinity?

Ninfinity is an AI macro reasoning assistant for institutional analysts. It reads conviction across five prediction markets — Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, and PredictIt — and surfaces the belief shocks, divergences, and structural shifts that move global markets before consensus does.

Which prediction markets does Ninfinity cover?

Five venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, and PredictIt. Markets are tracked across twelve macro categories including geopolitics, monetary policy, energy, crypto market structure, regulatory and legal action, and recession risk.

What is a belief shock?

A statistically significant probability move on a prediction market. Ninfinity's filter surfaces only the top 0.3% of cross-venue moves that break through structural thresholds, weighted by liquidity, velocity, and cross-platform agreement.

How is conviction scored?

Conviction is a 0–100 score combining probability velocity, liquidity depth behind the position, and the number of agreeing platforms. Markets scoring above 70 are durable signals; below 40 indicates a fragile read or noise.

Who is Ninfinity for?

Macro analysts and researchers inside wealth funds, asset managers, and institutional banks — the desks accountable for being early, running briefings, managing risk exposure, and making calls that get reviewed.

How do I request access?

Ninfinity is in private beta. Request institutional access through the form on this page, or email [email protected] directly. We respond within one business day.

Founder

Who is behind Ninfinity

Rania Halabi

Founder, Ninfinity

Rania brings a combination of digital asset market experience, entrepreneurship, and ecosystem development to the program. She is the founder of Ninfinity and co-founder of Blockcircle MENA, where she focuses on digital asset strategy, market education, and Web3 ecosystem growth across the Middle East and beyond.

Her work includes business development and strategic partnerships with exchanges, fintech platforms, and blockchain infrastructure projects, helping bridge traditional finance, emerging technologies, and regional market adoption.

Rania on LinkedIn Ninfinity on LinkedIn

Privacy Terms Disclosures

The macro signal, extracted from belief.